Document Type

Article

Publication Title

Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis

Publication Date

9-2019

ISSN

2194-5888

Page Number

296

Keywords

drinking water, prescription drugs, ambiguity, environmental risks

Disciplines

Environmental Law | Food and Drug Law | Law

Abstract

Uncertain future risks pose cognitive and analytical challenges to household decision makers. Risks with uncertain probabilities, coupled with potentially severe outcomes pose problems for decision-making and are prone to overreactions. Imprecision in risk estimates generates behavioral distortions such as ambiguity aversion. This article presents new empirical results indicating household overvaluations of uncertain threats posed by several drinking water risks: traces of prescription drugs in drinking water, plastic water bottles with bisphenol-A, and the weed killer atrazine in drinking water. Negative reactions reflect responses to ambiguous risks, but policies driven by these concerns may misallocate regulatory resources due to risk conservatism and “no-regrets” responses.

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