Document Type
Article
Publication Title
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
Publication Date
11-2020
ISSN
0895-5646
Page Number
101
Keywords
Covid-19, mortality cost, economic costs, public health, value of a statistical life
Disciplines
Health Law and Policy | Law
Abstract
Policies to address the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) require a balancing of the health risk reductions and the costs of economic dislocations. Application of the value of a statistical life (VSL) to monetize COVID-19 deaths produces a U.S. mortality cost estimate of $1.4 trillion for deaths in the first half of 2020. This article presents worldwide COVID-19 costs for over 100 countries. The total global mortality cost through July 2, 2020 is $3.5 trillion. The United States accounts for 25% of the deaths, but 41% of the mortality cost. Adjustments for the shorter life expectancy and lower income of the victims substantially reduces the estimated monetized losses, but may raise fundamental equity concerns. Morbidity effects of COVID-19 affect many more patients than do the disease’s mortality risks. Consideration of the morbidity effects increase the expected health losses associated with COVID-19 illnesses by 10% to 40%.
Recommended Citation
W. Kip Viscusi,
Pricing the Global Health Risks of the COVID-19 Pandemic, 61 Journal of Risk and Uncertainty. 101
(2020)
Available at: https://scholarship.law.vanderbilt.edu/faculty-publications/1536