Document Type

Article

Publication Title

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics

Publication Date

2013

Page Number

256

Keywords

payday lending, consumer credit, short-term loans, information asymmetries

Disciplines

Banking and Finance Law | Law

Abstract

Information asymmetries are prominent in theory but difficult to estimate. This paper exploits discontinuities in loan eligibility to test for moral hazard and adverse selection in the payday loan market. Regression discontinuity and regression kink approaches suggest that payday borrowers are less likely to default on larger loans. A $50 larger payday loan leads to a 17 to 33 percent drop in the probability of default. Conversely, there is economically and statistically significant adverse selection into larger payday loans when loan eligibility is held constant. Payday borrowers who choose a $50 larger loan are 16 to 47 percent more likely to default. (JEL D14, D82, G21

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